Friday 15 June 2012

FB - A great first months trading!

Facebook (FB) was overvalued from the very start of trading. After one full month of trading today, FB has lost 21%. Its seeing a fairly good bounce in the last two weeks, but that is merely reflecting action in the wider equity market.


FB, daily



Summary

A move to around 32/24 is expected next week - with the indexes completing wave'2 around sp'1360/80.

The next target for FB this summer will be a new low of 25...and very likely 20. 

SP'1100 - the monthly cycle target, would equate to FB around 15/17 by late July/August.
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FB remains overvalued by around 85%...fair value remains $4, and I would not be a buyer above $1.50 for what remains a company that has very minor revenue/profits, with an entirely unreliable customer base.