Wednesday 23 January 2013

GRMN - slipping below the radar

Garmin (GRMN) closed significantly lower for a second day, -1.5% @ $38.30. Next soft downside zone is around 37/36. A break of the November lows seems unlikely though, and if Q4 earnings come in reasonable, a break into the upper 40s looks very viable this spring.


GRMN, daily



Summary

Garmin is a stock I've been watching for a months now. Very profitable, with margins of around 20% (something AMZN will never see!). GRMN is debt free, with a nice little cash pile of over a billion.

see key stats @ yahoo! finance

Clearly, its seeing some distinct weakness since the jump higher in late November, and where it got stuck around $43.

What is clear, relative to the main market, its arguably under-priced, especially when you consider its broader balance sheet.

When the indexes retrace - 'whenever' that might be, I'll certainly strongly consider GRMN as a long play into the late spring. First target would be that $43 spike high..and then $50.

A break over $50 would be extremely important, and if GRMN can hold the 50s for a few consecutive days, there is open air all the way to $100.

One to watch..especially if the indexes see a minor pull back.

*Next earnings are due Feb'20th