Friday 20 September 2013

GDX - a nasty collapse to end the week

It was one hell of a dynamic week for the Gold miners. A huge 9% gain on Wednesday - after QE was fully maintained, but then very sharp falls across Thursday and Friday. GDX settled lower on Friday, -6.5% @ $25.58, and is now resting on soft support.


GDX, daily


GDX, monthly






Summary

Well, its been possibly the most dynamic three days for the Gold miners in quite a few weeks...or months. We've seen a very sharp ramp..only to crash back to Wednesday opening level.

In terms of price support, GDX closed the week right on key support. Any daily closes <$25, and GDX will be extremely likely to re-test the old June low of $22.21.
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The bigger monthly chart is similarly starting to look ugly again, with what might be a simple multi-month bear flag. Confirmation would be new lows in the $21s, but that is a very significant 20% lower than current levels
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As ever, the miners price action will be largely dependent upon the spot price of Gold/Silver. My mid-term outlook is for Gold in the $900s, and Silver $12/10. If that is the case, the miners are going to remain under severe downside pressure, even if the main equity market remains battling to the upside into spring 2014.