Thursday 9 January 2014

ANR, BTU - coal miners breaking support

Whilst the main market saw continued chop, the coal miners were especially weak. Two of the big names, Alpha Natural Res' (ANR) and Peabody (BTU) fell a very significant -4.0% and -2.5% respectively. With clear breaks under rising support, both look likely for further near term downside.


ANR, daily


BTU, daily


Summary

The miners have all been struggling for the past few years - ever since we saw a secondary (relative to summer 2008) commodity peak in spring 2011.

The big leaders in Coal.. ANR and BTU, really have major problems now..at least from a technical/chart perspective.

There is clear downside in ANR to $5.50...perhaps even the summer low in the $4.70s

As for BTU, near term weakness seems a given to the low $16s, if not the mid $14s.
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Without question, whilst commodity prices remain (surprisingly) weak, the miners are going to really struggle, and this very much includes the precious metals miners.