Monday, 30 September 2024

Miners higher with gold

The gold miner ETF of GDX saw a net September gain of +$1.20 (3.1%) to $39.82, helped by higher gold/silver, and a positive main market. 

GDX, monthly 

Summary

The collective of miners were higher for the sixth month of seven, helped by gold/silver, and the positive main market. I would note the 10MA at $33.57, which was settled above, as the m/t trend is bullish.

Four of the key miners...

Newmont (NEM) 

Newmont climbed for a seventh consecutive month, a net September gain of +$0.32 (0.6%) to $53.45. I would note the monthly 10MA at $41.94, which was settled above. Monthly momentum ticked upward, and is on the high side. The Jan'2023 $56s have been tested. From there... the $65s. 
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Barrick Gold (GOLD)  

Barrick lagged the sector, settling -$0.30 (1.5%) to $19.89. Momentum ticked upward, and is on the moderately high side. The monthly close under psy' $20 isn't so great, and threatens some cooling to the 10MA in the $17s.
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First Majestic Silver (AG) 

A net September gain of +$0.41 (7.3%) to $6.00, on very high vol' of 240M. Momentum is flat-lining on the marginally positive side. Things only turn interesting >$7.00.  News: an effective merger with Gatos Silver (GATO), although that won't likely be finalised until Q1 2025.

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Pan American Silver (PAAS)


A net September gain of +$0.67 (3.3%) to $20.88, on static vol' of 75M. Momentum ticked lower for a second month, if remaining on the moderately high side. Big target are the April 2022 $28s. That bullish outlook would be dropped with any monthly close under the key 10MA ($18s).
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Of the four, yours truly favours NEM, which has less of a copper component than Barrick.

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