Thursday 31 March 2022

Bullish follow through

The gold miner ETF of GDX saw a net March gain of +$3.97 (11.5%) to $38.35.

GDX, monthly

 


Summary

The miners saw bullish follow through, spiking to $40.26, if cooling back to settle powerfully higher at $38.35. The February break above m/t declining trend has been fully confirmed. I would note the 10MA at $32.61, which was again decisively settled above, as the m/t trend is bullish. Monthly momentum will turn positive at the April 1st open, with next target of the Aug'2020 high of $44.76.
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Three of the key miners...

Newmont (NEM), monthly 

 


Newmont lead the sector upward, breaking a new historic high of $81.14, with a net March gain of +$13.72 (20.9%) to $79.45. I would note the monthly 10MA in the $60s, which was again settled above. Monthly momentum has turned positive.
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Barrick Gold (GOLD), monthly

 


Barrick Gold climbed for a sixth consecutive month, settling +$1.96 (8.7%) to $24.53. Momentum is due to turn positive as of April 1st. Next target is psy' $30. A push above the Aug'2020 high of $30.47 will likely require Gold at least >$2100.
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First Majestic Silver (AG), monthly

 


First Majestic saw a net March gain of +$1.93 (17.1%) to $13.16. March settled above the 10MA. Things turn decisive >$15.00.

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Of the three, yours truly currently favours GOLD.

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Tuesday 1 March 2022

Miners resilient to the main market

The gold miner ETF of GDX saw a net February gain of +$4.15 (13.7%) to $34.38.

GDX, monthly

 


Summary

The miners rebounded strongly in February, spiking to $36.06, if cooling back to settle powerfully higher at $34.38. The miners were notably resilient to the weak main market. We have a marginal break above m/t declining trend. I would note the 10MA at $32.65, which was decisively settled above. Soft target 39/40s.
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Three of the key miners...

Newmont (NEM), monthly

 


Newmont broadly climbed with the sector, with a net February gain of +$5.03 (8.2%) to $66.20. I would note the monthly 10MA in the $60s, which was again settled above. Monthly momentum will be prone to turning positive in March/April.
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Barrick Gold (GOLD), monthly

 


Barrick Gold climbed for a fifth consecutive month, settling +$3.50 (18.4%) to $22.57. Momentum is due to turn positive within March/early April. Next target are the $25s, and then psy' $30. A push above the Aug'2020 high of $30.47 will likely require Gold at least >$2100.
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First Majestic Silver (AG), monthly

 


First Majestic saw a net February gain of +$1.08 (10.6%) to $11.24. Still a m/t mess, things turn interesting above the 10MA, currently at $12.86, and decisive >15s.

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Of the three, yours truly currently favours GOLD.
As of Feb'28th 2022, I hold long via NEM, GOLD (via options) and AG.

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