Thursday 30 November 2023

The strong miners

The gold miner ETF of GDX saw a net November gain of +$3.31 (11.8%) to $31.32, helped by upside in gold and silver.

GDX, monthly

 


Summary

An intra month low of $27.01, but swinging lower to settle at $31.32. I would note the 10MA at $30.14, which was settled above. Monthly momentum ticked back upward, and settled fractionally positive.

The central concern should be any renewed broad/sustained downside in the main market. However, I'd accept that doesn't look due any earlier than mid January.
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Three of the key miners...

Newmont (NEM), monthly 

Newmont saw a net November gain of +$3.09 (8.3%) to $37.47. I would note the monthly 10MA at $41.16, which was settled beneath. Monthly momentum ticked upward, if remaining negative. The November candle is bullish engulfing, and leans s/t bullish.
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Barrick Gold (GOLD), monthly


A net November gain of +$1.70 (10.7%) to $15.98. Momentum subtly ticked upward, turning fractionally positive. Soft target is key price threshold of the $19.20s.
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First Majestic Silver (AG), monthly

 


A net November gain of +$0.83 (16.0%) to $5.97. A twelfth consecutive settlement below the 10MA. The November candle is bullish engulfing, and leans s/t bullish.

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Of the three, yours truly favours Newmont, as it has less exposure to copper than Barrick. The bold will lean to the silver miners, but they would be especially vulnerable if the main market continues lower.
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