Wednesday, 1 January 2025

Miners fall into year end

The gold miner ETF of GDX saw a net December decline of -$3.31 (8.9%) to $33.91, dragged down by gold/silver, and the main market.

GDX, monthly 


Summary

The collective of miners dug lower for a second consecutive month. I would note the 10MA at $35.84, which was settled under, as the m/t bullish trend has been broken. 

The ultimate concern should be if (or rather... when) the main market puts in a mid/long term top, gold/silver, and the related miners will be prone to being dragged lower.
-

Four of the key miners...

Newmont (NEM)

Newmont fell for a third month, a net December decline of -$4.72 (11.2%) to $37.22. I would note the monthly 10MA at $43.67, which was settled beneath. Monthly momentum ticked lower for a third month, and is prone to turning negative by Feb'3rd.
--

Barrick Gold (GOLD)


Barrick fell for a fourth month, a net December decline of -$1.99 (11.4%) to $15.50. Momentum ticked lower for a third month, and will likely turn negative as of January 2nd.
--

First Majestic Silver (AG) 

First Majestic fell for a second month, a net December decline of -$0.62 (10.1%) to $5.49, on high vol' of 193M. Momentum ticked a little lower, and prone to turning negative by early Feb'. The effective merger with Gatos Silver (GATO) is due to be finalised within Q1 2025.

--

Pan American Silver (PAAS)


Pan American fell for a second month, a net December decline of -$1.75 (8.0%) to $20.22, on lower vol' of 56M. Momentum ticked a little lower, if remaining on the moderately high side. December's candle is bearish engulfing, with an upper spike... reflective of tired miner bulls.
--

Of the four, yours truly favours NEM, which has less of a copper component than Barrick.

For more of the same... 

Subscription details >>> https://www.tradingsunset.com