With the broader market starting to push back higher, Macys (M) continues to regularly break new historic highs, settling +4.0% @ $67.51. There is core support around $60, with the giant $100 threshold very viable in late 2015/early 2016.
M, daily
M, monthly, 20yr
Summary
Seen on the giant monthly cycle, the broader upward trend is starkly clear... having risen from a bizarre low of $4.52 in Nov'2008. Interestingly (like a fair few stocks)... Macys put in a marginally higher low in March 2009.. whereas the main market put in a final low of sp'666.
The giant $100 threshold is a bold upside target... but if you agree with sp'2500.. if not 3k, as viable before the current multi-year cycle is complete.. then M @ $100 is viable.
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Tuesday, 6 January 2015
TWTR - jumps higher on a suggestion
Whilst the main market saw continued weakness, there were notable gains for Twitter (TWTR), which settled +6.5% @ $38.76. With the biggest gain since mid November, there is now viable upside to the price gap zone 43/47. If next earnings at least come in 'reasonable'... TWTR looks set for a return to the $50s.
TWTR, daily
Summary
*former Yahoo CEO Levinsohn - via clown finance TV (CNBC) no less, suggested TWTR should buy out Yahoo (YHOO)... hence the market ramping the stock this afternoon.
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I have to say, its an interesting idea, not least from the side of Yahoo, which remains a rather bizarre and lacklustre media/tech stock.
No doubt, TWTR could probably afford to launch a bid for YHOO, but I can think of better ways to spend billions of dollars.
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*TWTR remains an interesting stock to follow, but I have no interest in trading ANY of the momo/hysteria stocks. I've little tolerance for anything that doesn't pay a dividend, nor anything that is essentially nothing more than a website.
TWTR, daily
Summary
*former Yahoo CEO Levinsohn - via clown finance TV (CNBC) no less, suggested TWTR should buy out Yahoo (YHOO)... hence the market ramping the stock this afternoon.
--
I have to say, its an interesting idea, not least from the side of Yahoo, which remains a rather bizarre and lacklustre media/tech stock.
No doubt, TWTR could probably afford to launch a bid for YHOO, but I can think of better ways to spend billions of dollars.
-
*TWTR remains an interesting stock to follow, but I have no interest in trading ANY of the momo/hysteria stocks. I've little tolerance for anything that doesn't pay a dividend, nor anything that is essentially nothing more than a website.
Monday, 5 January 2015
BTU, CHK, SDRL - carnage in the energy sector
With the broader market in a bad mood about a likely GREXIT, and Oil losing the $50 threshold, the energy stocks were smashed. Peabody Energy (BTU), Chesapeake (CHK), and Seadrill (SDRL), saw rather extreme declines of -9.6%, -6.4%, and -10.0% respectively. Outlook for the sector is bearish into late spring/early summer.
BTU, daily
CHK, daily
SDRL, daily
Summary
Oil looks set to slip to at least the $47/43 zone in the near term... with $35/30 in second half of 2015.
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On any fair outlook, a multi-year floor - even in the coal stocks... looks likely this summer. From there... it will be shopping time (at least in my view!).
For now... patiently waiting.
BTU, daily
CHK, daily
SDRL, daily
Summary
Oil looks set to slip to at least the $47/43 zone in the near term... with $35/30 in second half of 2015.
-
On any fair outlook, a multi-year floor - even in the coal stocks... looks likely this summer. From there... it will be shopping time (at least in my view!).
For now... patiently waiting.
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