Wednesday, 14 August 2013

GDX - miners battling higher

Whilst the main equity market slipped moderately lower, Gold/Silver commodity prices rose, and that helped the Gold miner ETF of GDX, which closed +5.5% @ $28.70. Near term trend is bullish, next target is the 30/32 zone.


GDX, daily


GDX, monthly


Summary

It has been a choppy six weeks for the miners, but the current up wave is certainly a little stronger than the ones seen since last year.

There is very obvious resistance for GDX in the $30/32 zone, but even more so, the declining 200 day MA of $36.07* will be extremely difficult to break over

*for Gold and Silver, the equivalent levels are GLD 140s, and SLV 25/26
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Trading volume for GDX  has soared in the past six months. Does this increased 'trader interest' represent a floor is now in?

The problem remains, underlying price momentum is still in deeply negative territory. It is going to take MANY months, probably a full year, just to negate the fierce downside from the highs of spring 2011.

Best guess? A further wave lower in 2014, and this will most certainly occur if Gold/Silver commodity prices continue their broad monthly down trend.