Thursday 25 February 2016

TSLA - breaks above resistance

Whilst the broader market closed significantly higher, there was notable strength in Tesla Motors (TSLA), which despite early declines (intra low $175.20), swung powerfully higher, settling +4.8% @ $187.65. Near term outlook offers the $200 threshold. Broader downside to the 120/100 zone looks due later this year.


TSLA, daily



TSLA, monthly


Summary

Suffice to add, TSLA looks headed to around $200 by mid March.

From there, if my broader bearish outlook is correct - to the sp'1600s, then TSLA will likely take out the Feb'9th low of $141.09, and continue falling to the 120/100 zone.

Seen on the giant monthly chart, any sustained action <$100, will likely confirm a full retrace back to the original breakout level of $40.
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*to be clear, I like the company, Tesla is an industry leader... highly innovative, but still... its a loss maker..with net cash out-flow.

No doubt, the CEO Musk will manage to raise more capital within the next year or two to keep the company fully financed, but for now... the valuation is simply ludicrous.