Sunday, 1 November 2020

Miners cool for a third month

The gold miner ETF of GDX ended the month on a significantly positive note, settling +54cents (1.5%) to $37.49, but that still made for a net October decline of -$1.67 (4.3%). Despite a third month of cooling, the miners remain long term bullish with Gold and Silver.

GDX, monthly

 


GDX, daily

 


Summary

A third consecutive net monthly decline for the gold miners, pressured by a weak main market, higher bond yields, and the dollar. The s/t outlook is bearish to the $34/33s, where the 200dma and monthly 10MA are lurking. More broadly, having already cleared the 2016 high, m/t bullish to 50/52, with secondary target of the 2011 $63s.

Key miners...

Newmont (NEM), monthly

 


A net October decline of -$0.61 (1.0%) to $62.84. S/t bearish with the sector, and I would note the monthly 10MA in the $57s. More broadly, still m/t bullish to giant psy'100.

Barrick Gold (GOLD), monthly

 


A net October decline of -$1.38 (4.9%) to $26.73. S/t bearish with the sector, and I would note the monthly 10MA in the $24s. More broadly, still m/t bullish, with soft target of the $37s. New historic highs >49.83, will require Gold 2400/2500.
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Of the two, yours truly favours GOLD - which it'd seem Buffett/Berkshire would agree with, but both are tier'1 quality miners.