Friday 31 August 2012

FB - another day, another dollar lower

Facebook (FB) continues on its decline towards fair value. It is certainly very pleasing to see this over hyped and overvalued company see continued declines. Yet, we are still some $6 from reaching the first target zone of $12/10.


FB, daily


Summary

FB remains a great unknown, its going to take a few more quarters of earnings just to have any real idea how they are coping as a listed company - with the inherent pressures, especially on the CEO.

The MACD cycle is again rolling over, and we're only day'1 down, so..FB could easily be in the 16/14 range by the end of September.

The original 'market zone' target of 12/10 does indeed look set to be hit this Autumn.

My 'fair value' of $4 won't be hit of course, after all, this market simply won't allow true 'fair value' in most cases. Yet, even $12/10 would be a real achievement for the bears who have been shorting since the 30s.

If the SP' can somehow - at least briefly, sink to the low 1200s this Autumn, then FB will indeed hit the 12/10 zone.