Thursday 11 April 2013

F - rising with the main market

Ford Motor (F) closed +3.3% @ $13.55, and continues to mirror the rally seen in the broader equity market. Near term trend looks bullish, but Ford is going to face strong resistance at the January high in the low 14s. The 200 day MA offers massive support in the low 11s.


F, daily


Summary

Perhaps most notable about today's closing level, was the fact it made a daily close above the highs seen in March.

Underlying MACD (blue bar histogram) cycle, ticked higher for the fourth day, and is now in positive territory. There is no sign of a turn, and there could easily be a few more days on the upside - which in theory would sync up with a challenge of the January high.

Considering the main market is now in the sp'1590, Ford is clearly under-performing.

What is clear, a few daily closes above the January highs would be a very bullish sign for Ford, and also likely mean the broader market is just going to keep on rising into the summer.

The equity/Ford bears can't get excited unless Ford puts in a few closes under $12. Right now, that is a clear 10% or so lower.

Ford will always be one to watch.