Monday 15 April 2013

GDX - the horror show continues

With the precious metals collapsing overnight Sunday, it was no surprise to see the gold miners collapse. The Gold miner ETF of GDX closed with an extremely severe decline of 9.9% @ $29.02. Near term trend shows no sign of a turn..and the ultimate target remains 25/20.


GDX, daily


Summary

With a truly historic collapse in both Gold and Silver commodity prices, GDX was always set to collapse, but a further 10% drop is indeed somewhat scary. Trading volume was extreme, with 73 million traded, verses a typical 10 million.


The big 30 fails

What is clear, with the break of the big $30 level, there is now empty air to the 25/20 target zone, a level that I have been seeking for more than a year.

The incredible thing about all this is that whilst the miners are now down over 55/60% from the highs of 2011, the US equity market is only a few percent down from the recent highs.

If the main US markets decline into May..and June, will GDX even be able to hold the low 20s?

It will be interesting to see where we are trading in late May/early June, which is the kind of time frame where I expect a mid-term floor to be put in.